The Australian Financial Review’s Politics Explorer allows readers to see the party and margin of each federal House of Representatives seat and work out how the polls might impact this distribution. There are two key parts to the interactive database:

1) The Swing Calculator simulates the change in seats based on different poll outcomes. This is updated as new polling results are added to our interactive polling database.

2) The Electorate Explorer provides an overview of individual seats and the key candidates.

The Swing Calculator simulates the change in seats based on different election outcomes. Source: The Australian Financial Review/Edmund Tadros

 

 

 

I regularly cover the political polls with a view to providing readers with an objective overview of what the different pollsters have found.

We have a database of all the national polls going back several years that I use to provide context to the stories.

This allows me to focus on the long-term trends and provide context to any individual poll finding.

The stories are complemented by our interactive 
Poll of Polls visualisations.

9 Sept, 2014: Coalition behind in polls after a year

The federal government has suffered a sustained and significant loss in its primary and two-party preferred polling after one year in power, with the signals on any possible recovery mixed.

Voters are also unimpressed with the leaders of both main parties, with the dissatisfaction ratings of Prime Minister Tony Abbott and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten rising since last year.

Read more about the latest polls at The Australian Financial Review.

Read More →

Social media will be a key battleground in this year’s Federal Election with the major parties using Twitter, Facebook and YoutTube to get their message out and fire up their supporter base.

The Financial Review has developed an interactive database of the key stats for all the federal politicians on social media. I will be updating and reporting on this database every month.

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Edmund Tadros

Social media Interactive Database – Edmund Tadros

Explore the Financial Review’s interactive database of federal politicians on Twitter, Facebook and YouTube.

Read More →

The Coalition would easily win an election held now with a swing of up to seven per cent, according to the latest Nielsen Poll.

The Coalition leads on a two party preferred basis with 57 per cent (up one point) versus Labor on 43 per cent (down one point).

Labor’s primary vote has fallen to 29 per cent, while the Coalition’s primary vote has increased to 49 per cent.

Read more about federal party polling at The Australian Financial Review.

Nielsen polling - Edmund Tadros

Nielsen polling – Edmund Tadros

 

Australian Tax Office data compared to Romney quote

The debate over the “47 per cent” of American adults who Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney says don’t pay income tax caused a firestorm across the US this week.

An analysis by The Weekend Financial Review has found that the proportion of Australian adults who don’t pay tax is almost as high, at 45 per cent.

But like the figure cited by Mr Romney, that number is full of caveats and exceptions rather than evidence that half the population are bludgers.

Read more tax data analysis at The Australian Financial Review.